Team Toad Data Groupies - Skew-Normal Epidemic Modeling

US cases, February 18, 2023

US Cases


The latest model run was December 15, 2022 using data through midnight, December 14, 22, 2022, and is shown as a solid red line. The dashed red line shows the future values of this model run.

Each peak is labeled with the most common variant at the peak, a number 1 through 12 counting which wave it is, and an value for skew (α).

Waves 8 through 12 are all subvariants of Omicron, and there was no clear correspondence between any particular wave and dominance by a single subvariant.




Last updated 18-Feb-2023 by fuzzy@lazytoad.com, from Lazy Toad Ranch
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